Download Adapting to an Uncertain Climate: Lessons From Practice by Tiago Capela Lourenço, Ana Rovisco, Annemarie Groot, Carin PDF

By Tiago Capela Lourenço, Ana Rovisco, Annemarie Groot, Carin Nilsson, Hans-Martin Füssel, Leendert Van Bree, Roger B. Street

Climate swap highlights the demanding situations for long term coverage making within the face of power and irreducible degrees of uncertainties. It demands the advance of versatile methods, cutting edge governance and different parts that give a contribution to potent and adaptive decision-making. Exploring those new techniques can be a problem for these interested by weather study and improvement of edition policy.

The publication presents a dozen real-life examples of model choice making within the type of case studies:

· Water offer administration in Portugal, England and Wales and Hungary

· Flooding, together with flood danger in eire, coastal flooding and erosion in Southwest France, and flood administration in Australia’s Hutt River region

· shipping and utilities, together with the Austrian Federal railway process, public transit in Dresden, and Québec hydro-electric power

· document reading communique of enormous numbers of weather eventualities in Dutch weather model workshops.

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Additional info for Adapting to an Uncertain Climate: Lessons From Practice

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The main assessment or background report may subsequently contain more detailed information, with emphasis on the nature, extent and sources of uncertainties. Ideally, it presents all methods, assumptions, parameters and input data, thereby providing maximum transparency of the assessment approach. 9 37 Conclusions In this chapter we have examined various aspects of dealing with uncertainty in support of decision-making on climate adaptation. To be effective, adaptation should ideally be part of any urban and rural economic development policy and related sectoral plans and budgets.

So, we believe that policies to deal with climate variability and policies to deal with climate change are both needed. 3 Relationship Between the “Climate” and “Development” Communities Communities interested in climatic patterns are often distinct from, and do not necessarily “speak the same language” as, those concerned with the economy or resource management. At a minimum, we feel that the understanding between these two constituencies should be improved to establish a common platform for action in areas where the two sets of policy objectives intersect.

The various aforementioned uncertainties on the location axis can be further characterized in terms of four other uncertainty features/dimensions, which are described in the subsequent sections. 2 Uncertainty Level This dimension expresses how a specific uncertainty source can be classified on a gradual scale running from ‘knowing for certain’ to ‘no know’. Use is made of three distinct levels: • Statistical uncertainties are those which can adequately be expressed in statistical or probabilistic terms.

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